<\/p>\n
ABD istihbarat\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gizli de\u011ferlendirmeler, K\u00fcba ekonomisinin son y\u0131llar\u0131n en a\u011f\u0131r krizlerinden birini ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyarken, Washington\u2019daki siyasi s\u00f6ylemin aksine bu tablonun Havana\u2019daki y\u00f6netimin k\u0131sa vadede \u00e7\u00f6kmesine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131na dair net bir kanaat i\u00e7ermiyor.<\/p>\n
Reuters\u2019a konu\u015fan ve de\u011ferlendirmelerden haberdar \u00fc\u00e7 kayna\u011fa g\u00f6re, CIA, K\u00fcba\u2019da \u00f6zellikle enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn \u201cson derece kritik\u201d durumda oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti. Tar\u0131m ve turizm gibi kilit alanlar uzun s\u00fcreli elektrik kesintileri, ticaret yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ve kronik kaynak yetersizli\u011fi nedeniyle ciddi bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda. \u00dclke genelinde, Havana d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki b\u00f6lgelerde elektrik kesintilerinin g\u00fcnde ortalama 20 saate kadar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
Trump: K\u00fcba d\u00fc\u015fmeye haz\u0131r<\/strong> Washington\u2019da baz\u0131 \u00fcst d\u00fczey yetkililer, Karacas y\u00f6netiminin devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131yla K\u00fcba\u2019ya akan petrol\u00fcn kesilmesinin, Havana\u2019daki y\u00f6netimi zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor. Marco Rubio gibi isimler i\u00e7in bu senaryo, uzun s\u00fcredir dile getirilen bir hedef olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n Ancak Reuters\u2019a konu\u015fan kaynaklara g\u00f6re, CIA\u2019in son analizleri bu varsay\u0131m\u0131 kesin bi\u00e7imde desteklemiyor. De\u011ferlendirmelerde, ekonomik ko\u015fullar\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 kabul edilse de bunun otomatik olarak bir rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 sonucuna var\u0131lm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n Venezuela petrol\u00fc kritik ama tek belirleyici de\u011fil<\/strong> Buna ra\u011fmen istihbarat raporlar\u0131, krizin 1990\u2019larda Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanan ve \u201c\u00d6zel D\u00f6nem\u201d olarak bilinen \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015ften hen\u00fcz daha derin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc de i\u00e7eriyor.<\/p>\n Gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfus g\u00f6\u00e7 ediyor<\/strong> Bu durumun, siyasi de\u011fi\u015fim ihtimalini hem zay\u0131flatabilece\u011fi hem de farkl\u0131 bir y\u00f6nde tetikleyebilece\u011fi vurgulan\u0131yor. Kaliforniya \u00dcniversitesi San Diego\u2019dan emekli profes\u00f6r Richard Feinberg, ekonomik ko\u015fullar\u0131n \u201cson derece k\u00f6t\u00fc\u201d oldu\u011funu ancak bunun her zaman siyasi sonu\u00e7 do\u011furmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n \u201c\u0130nsanlar a\u00e7ken \u00f6ncelikleri siyaset olmaz, hayatta kalmaya odaklan\u0131rlar\u201d diyen Feinberg, \u00f6te yandan umutsuzlu\u011fun baz\u0131 durumlarda korku e\u015fi\u011fini a\u015farak sokak protestolar\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini de hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n Sonu\u00e7: \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f derin, gelecek belirsiz<\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" ABD istihbarat\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gizli de\u011ferlendirmeler, K\u00fcba ekonomisinin son y\u0131llar\u0131n en a\u011f\u0131r krizlerinden birini ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyarken, Washington\u2019daki siyasi s\u00f6ylemin aksine bu tablonun Havana\u2019daki y\u00f6netimin k\u0131sa vadede \u00e7\u00f6kmesine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131na dair net bir kanaat i\u00e7ermiyor. Reuters\u2019a konu\u015fan ve de\u011ferlendirmelerden haberdar \u00fc\u00e7 kayna\u011fa g\u00f6re, CIA, K\u00fcba\u2019da \u00f6zellikle enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn \u201cson derece kritik\u201d durumda oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti. Tar\u0131m<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":103977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[85],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-103976","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spor"],"yoast_head":"\n
\nBu de\u011ferlendirmeler, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta sonu Venezuela\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ABD operasyonunun ard\u0131ndan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla \u00e7eli\u015fiyor. Trump, Air Force One\u2019da gazetecilere \u201cK\u00fcba d\u00fc\u015fmeye haz\u0131r g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Gelirlerinin neredeyse tamam\u0131n\u0131 Venezuela petrol\u00fcnden sa\u011fl\u0131yorlard\u0131\u201d demi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
\nK\u00fcba\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol tedarik\u00e7isi olan Venezuela\u2019dan gelen sevkiyatlar\u0131n durma noktas\u0131na gelmesi, ekonomideki k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha da art\u0131r\u0131yor. ABD\u2019nin, ge\u00e7ici Venezuela y\u00f6netimini petrol sevkiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ABD\u2019ye y\u00f6nlendirmeye ikna etti\u011fi belirtiliyor. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z analistlere g\u00f6re, bu durum K\u00fcba ekonomisi \u00fczerinde \u201cka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz ve a\u011f\u0131r\u201d bir bask\u0131 yaratacak.<\/p>\n
\nABD\u2019li yetkililere g\u00f6re, K\u00fcba\u2019da son y\u0131llarda dikkat \u00e7ekici bir demografik d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ya\u015fan\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle 50 ya\u015f alt\u0131 n\u00fcfusun b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fclkeyi terk etti. Resm\u00ee verilere g\u00f6re 2023\u2019te 10 milyonun \u00fczerinde olan n\u00fcfusun bug\u00fcn 9 milyonun alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
\nCIA\u2019in de\u011ferlendirmeleri, K\u00fcba\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan a\u011f\u0131r bir darbo\u011fazda oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koyuyor. Ancak Washington\u2019da dile getirilen \u201crejim \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u201d beklentisinin istihbarat kurumlar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan kesin bir olas\u0131l\u0131k olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. K\u00fcba\u2019n\u0131n gelece\u011fi, ekonomik bask\u0131lar\u0131n toplumda nas\u0131l bir kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bulaca\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak belirsizli\u011fini koruyor.<\/p>\n