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<\/div>\nDevlet Planlama \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (DP\u00d6), makroekonomik ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme ve tahminler tablosunun son hali ve bir \u00f6nceki hali aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n, ilk tablonun 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na ait verilerin kendilerine ula\u015fmamas\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 tahmin y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclerek, son tablonun ise \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme rakamlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden yap\u0131lmas\u0131 oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. <\/p>\n
DP\u00d6\u2019den yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, ilk haz\u0131rlanan tabloda 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na ait verilerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na ait verilerin hen\u00fcz kendilerine ula\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 tahmin oldu\u011fu ve daha sonra de\u011fi\u015fiklik olabilece\u011fi anekdot ve tablo a\u00e7\u0131klama metni yaz\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7inde belirtildi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131klamada, Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u201cmakroekonomik hedefler orta vadeli plan\u201d tablosunu \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 da i\u00e7erecek \u015fekilde revize etmesi neticesinde, 6 Ekim tarihinde Devlet Planlama \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn bu tablonun son halini Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019na iletti\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
\u201cBu durum, makroekonomik tahminlerin do\u011fas\u0131 gere\u011fi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz bir durumdur. Tahminler, belirsizlik i\u00e7eren bir s\u00fcre\u00e7tir ve ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme rakamlar\u0131 ile uyumlu olmayabilir\u201d ifadeleri kullan\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Devlet Planlama \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn en g\u00fcncel ve do\u011fru verileri sunmak i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n tam metni \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n
\u201c11 Nisan 2023 tarihinde Devlet Planlama \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n talep yaz\u0131s\u0131na cevaben g\u00f6nderilen \u201c41\/2019 say\u0131l\u0131 Mali Y\u00f6netim ve Kontrol yasas\u0131 18(1) f\u0131kras\u0131 gere\u011fi Makroekonomik hedefler Orta vadeli plan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda kullan\u0131lmak ve bahse konu yasan\u0131n 18(2)\u2019inci f\u0131kras\u0131 gere\u011fi Bakanlar Kurulunca yay\u0131nlanmak \u00fczere yap\u0131lan makroekonomik ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme ve tahminler tablosu\u201d ile ilgili olarak, sizlere bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapma gere\u011fi duyduk.<\/p>\n
Bahse konu tabloda, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na ait verilerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, verilerin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na ait hen\u00fcz elimize ula\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, bu y\u00fczden tahmin oldu\u011fu g\u00f6nderilen tabloda anektod ve tablo a\u00e7\u0131klama metni yaz\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7inde belirtilmi\u015ftir. Bu tahminler, Devlet Planlama \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn kendi kaynaklar\u0131 ve y\u00f6ntemleri ile elde etti\u011fi verilere dayanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
29 Eyl\u00fcl 2023 tarihinde KKTC<\/a> \u0130statistik Kurumu, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na ait ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n hen\u00fcz resmi olarak son a\u015famas\u0131na getirilip yay\u0131nlanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan daha sonradan de\u011fi\u015fiklik olabilece\u011fi notu ile yay\u0131nlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu rakamlara g\u00f6re, Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yine \u2018Makroekonomik hedefler Orta vadeli plan\u2019 tablosunu \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 da i\u00e7erecek \u015fekilde revize etmesi neticesinde, 6 Ekim 2023 tarihinde Devlet Planlama \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc bu tablonun son halini Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019na iletmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n \u0130ki tablo aras\u0131ndaki temel fark\u0131n nedeni, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n ilk tabloda tahmin olmas\u0131, ikinci yollanan tabloda ise \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7ermesinden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. \u0130lk yollanan yaz\u0131m\u0131zda 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n tahmin oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131klama yaz\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n i\u00e7inde \u00e7e\u015fitli defalar belirtilmi\u015ftir. Bu durum, makroekonomik tahminlerin do\u011fas\u0131 gere\u011fi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz bir durumdur. Tahminler, belirsizlik i\u00e7eren bir s\u00fcre\u00e7tir ve ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme rakamlar\u0131 ile uyumlu olmayabilir. Bu nedenle, iki tablo aras\u0131ndaki farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n sizleri yan\u0131ltmas\u0131n\u0131 istemeyiz.<\/p>\n Devlet Planlama \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn Maliye bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na cevaben verdi\u011fi Tabloda yer alan veriler, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda pandeminin olumsuz etkilerini, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise pandeminin bitmesi ve k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla birlikte ekonomik toparlanmay\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, GSY\u0130H Reel B\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan pandemi nedeni ile -16,2% iken, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda 3,9%\u2019a ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 13,3%\u2019e y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. Benzer \u015fekilde, GSY\u0130H Ki\u015fi Ba\u015f\u0131na de\u011feri de 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda 10.055 USD iken, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda 11.129 USD\u2019ye ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 14.636 USD\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu veriler, KKTC<\/a>\u2019nin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin pandemi sonras\u0131 d\u00f6nemde h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n Tabloda yer alan di\u011fer veriler, \u00fclkenin d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler kaydetti\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, \u0130hracat de\u011feri 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda 106,4 milyon USD iken, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda 134,8 milyon USD\u2019ye ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 125.594 milyon USD\u2019ye ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu veriler, KKTC<\/a>\u2019nin ihracat pazarlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitlendi\u011fini ve rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. Ayr\u0131ca, D\u0131\u015f Ticaret Hacmi\/GSY\u0130H oran\u0131 da 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda 46.79% iken, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda 50.41%\u2019a ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 53.086%\u2019a y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. Bu veriler, \u00fclkenin d\u0131\u015f ticaretin ekonomiye katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n Tabloda yer alan istihdam ile ilgili veriler, KKTC<\/a>\u2019nin pandemi d\u00f6nemi ya\u015fanan i\u015fsizlik sorununu da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00e7\u00f6zd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6stermektedir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, \u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda 10,1% iken, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda 7,8%\u2019e ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 6,3%\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu veriler, \u00fclkemizin istihdam piyasas\u0131n\u0131n canland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn verimlili\u011finin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n \u00dclkenin pandemi sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanan enflasyon ile m\u00fccadele etmesine gereklilik duyuldu\u011funu T\u00dcFE rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fimini g\u00f6stermektedir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, T\u00dcFE Y\u0131l Sonu oran\u0131 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda 15.03% iken, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda 46.09%\u2019a ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 94.51%\u2019e \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu veriler, KKTC<\/a>\u2019nin fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in gerekli \u00f6nlemleri almas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n Devlet Planlama \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc olarak, sizlere en g\u00fcncel ve do\u011fru verileri sunmak i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktay\u0131z. Sizinle i\u015fbirli\u011fi i\u00e7inde olmaktan memnuniyet duyar\u0131z.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n