![](\"https:\/\/www.kibristurk.com\/images\/haberler\/2024\/01\/dunya-bankasi-kuresel-ekonomik-buyumenin-bu-yil-yavaslamasini-bekliyor-1704824725.webp\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,6 olarak tahmin edilen k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,4 olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik Beklentiler Raporu’nun Ocak 2024 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, kalk\u0131nma i\u00e7in d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc bir 10 y\u0131l olmas\u0131 planlanan d\u00f6nemin orta noktas\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken, k\u00fcresel ekonominin 2024’\u00fcn sonuna kadar “\u00fcz\u00fcc\u00fc” bir rekora imza ataca\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, son 30 y\u0131l\u0131n en yava\u015f 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k Gayrisafi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel ekonominin bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re daha iyi bir yerde oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen raporda, k\u00fcresel resesyon riskinin, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ABD ekonomisinin g\u00fcc\u00fc sayesinde azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ancak artan jeopolitik gerilimlerin d\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadede yeni tehlikeler olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerin \u00e7o\u011funda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle k\u00fcresel ticaretin yava\u015flamas\u0131 ve on y\u0131llard\u0131r g\u00f6r\u00fclen en s\u0131k\u0131 finansal ko\u015fullar nedeniyle geli\u015fmekte olan bir\u00e7ok ekonominin orta vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn karard\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel ticaret b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin pandemiden \u00f6nceki 10 y\u0131l\u0131n ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca yar\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fine de\u011finilen raporda, geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyona g\u00f6re d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f olarak son 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerinde olmas\u0131n\u0131n muhtemel oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin art arda 3’\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131lda da yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi kaydedilerek, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,6 olarak tahmin edilen k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,4, 2025’te de y\u00fczde 2,7 olmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131l haziran ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, k\u00fcresel ekonomiye ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi 2023 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,1, 2024 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,4 ve 2025 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3 olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Raporda, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,9, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkelerin y\u00fczde 5,5, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin 1,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydedece\u011fi belirtilerek, 2024’\u00fcn sonuna gelindi\u011finde, geli\u015fmekte olan her 4 \u00fclkeden birinde ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkelerin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 40’\u0131nda 2019’daki salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6nemden daha fazla yoksulluk olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
\u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadele etmek ve 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar di\u011fer temel k\u00fcresel kalk\u0131nma hedeflerine ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k 2,4 trilyon dolar art\u0131\u015f sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131n gerekti\u011fi vurgulanan raporda, 35 geli\u015fmi\u015f ve 69 geli\u015fmekte olan ekonominin son 70 y\u0131ldaki deneyimlerinden yararlanarak, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir yat\u0131r\u0131m patlamas\u0131 i\u00e7in nelerin gerekli oldu\u011funa ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel analiz sunuldu.<\/p>\n
Raporda, ABD’nin 2023’te y\u00fczde 2,5, bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,6 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin tahmin edildi\u011fi, Japonya’n\u0131n da ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 1,8, y\u00fczde 0,9 ve y\u00fczde 0,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydedece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in’in b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 5,2 olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131l\u0131rken, 2024’te y\u00fczde 4,5 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 4,3 olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2023’te y\u00fczde 4,2, 2024’te y\u00fczde 3,1 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Rapora ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulunan D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 Grubu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ajay Banga, yoksullu\u011fu azaltman\u0131n ve refah\u0131 yayman\u0131n en emin yolunun istihdamdan ge\u00e7ti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izerek, daha yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin istihdam yaratmay\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.<\/p>\n
Banga, “B\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin kader olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ak\u0131lda tutmak \u00f6nemli. Durumu tersine \u00e7evirme f\u0131rsat\u0131m\u0131z var ama bu hepimizin birlikte \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirecek.” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 Grubu Ba\u015fekonomisti ve K\u0131demli Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Indermit Gill, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin istikrars\u0131z bir konumda oldu\u011funu belirterek, y\u00fckselen piyasalarda ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerde, y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131 nedeniyle bor\u00e7 bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Mali zay\u0131fl\u0131klar\u0131n zaten bir\u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkeyi bor\u00e7 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na s\u00fcr\u00fckledi\u011fine de\u011finen Gill, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma hedeflerine ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in gereken finansman ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n, en iyimser \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerden bile \u00e7ok daha fazla oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 Grubu Ba\u015fekonomist Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Ayhan K\u00f6se de geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin \u00e7o\u011funun, zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme, s\u00fcrekli y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve rekor bor\u00e7 seviyeleriyle ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ederek, “Bu ekonomilerdeki politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar, finansal bula\u015fmay\u0131 \u00f6nlemek ve k\u0131sa vadeli i\u00e7 k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 azaltmak i\u00e7in derhal harekete ge\u00e7melidir.” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,6 olarak tahmin edilen k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,4 olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini bildirdi. D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik Beklentiler Raporu’nun Ocak 2024 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Raporda, kalk\u0131nma i\u00e7in d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc bir 10 y\u0131l olmas\u0131 planlanan d\u00f6nemin orta noktas\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken, k\u00fcresel ekonominin 2024’\u00fcn sonuna kadar “\u00fcz\u00fcc\u00fc” bir rekora imza ataca\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, son 30<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":25775,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem"],"yoast_head":"\n