{"id":46691,"date":"2024-06-21T07:15:07","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T07:15:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/21\/kuresel-piyasalar-karisik-seyrediyor-5\/"},"modified":"2024-06-21T07:15:07","modified_gmt":"2024-06-21T07:15:07","slug":"kuresel-piyasalar-karisik-seyrediyor-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/?p=46691","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel piyasalar kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

ABD’de ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan enflasyon verisi ile bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan perakende sat\u0131\u015flar verisi Fed’in bu y\u0131l faiz indirimine gidece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik beklentilerini desteklemesine kar\u015f\u0131n d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 verisi kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller verdi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dclkede, ilk kez i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurusunda bulunanlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131, 15 Haziran ile biten haftada 5 bin azalarak 238 bine gerilemesine kar\u015f\u0131n beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu d\u00f6nemdeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131n A\u011fustos 2023’ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek ikinci seviyesini kaydeden i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131na dair piyasa beklentisi, ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 235 bin olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00fcregelen i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131 da 8 Haziran ile biten haftada 15 bin ki\u015fi artarak 1 milyon 828 bine y\u00fckseldi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

ABD’nin cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 7,2 artarak 237,6 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dclkede, Philadelphia Fed \u0130malat Endeksi de haziranda 1,3 de\u011ferine gerileyerek ocak ay\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini kaydetti.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

ABD’de yap\u0131m\u0131na ba\u015flanan yeni konut say\u0131s\u0131 ise may\u0131sta y\u00fcksek mortgage (konut kredisi) faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle y\u00fczde 5,5 azal\u0131rken in\u015faat izni say\u0131s\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde y\u00fczde 3,8 azal\u0131\u015fla Haziran 2020’den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Fed yetkililerinden de a\u00e7\u0131klamalar gelmeye devam ederken Minneapolis Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Neel Kashkari, enflasyonun Fed’in y\u00fczde 2 hedefine d\u00f6nmesinin bir ila iki y\u0131l s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini ifade etti.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Bankan\u0131n, eyl\u00fclde faiz indirimine ba\u015flama ihtimali y\u00fczde 64 ile fiyatlan\u0131yor.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan d\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k 5 baz puan artarak y\u00fczde 4,2620’ye y\u00fckselen ABD’nin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi \u015fu s\u0131ralarda y\u00fczde 4,2660 seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00fcn y\u00fczde 0,4 art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcn\u00fc 105,6 seviyesinden tamamlayan dolar endeksi bug\u00fcn ise y\u00fczde 0,1 azal\u0131\u015fla 105,5 seviyelerinde seyrediyor.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131 ise d\u00fcn y\u00fczde 1,4 art\u0131\u015fla 2 bin 360 dolardan g\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlarken, \u015fu dakikalarda \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,1 \u00fcst\u00fcnde 2 bin 363 dolardan al\u0131c\u0131 buluyor.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 da d\u00fcn g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 0,4 art\u0131\u015fla 84,9 dolardan kapat\u0131rken, bug\u00fcn \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,1 azal\u0131\u015fla 84,6 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Janet Yellen, eski ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve kas\u0131mdaki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7iminde Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin aday\u0131 Donald Trump’\u0131n \u00f6nerdi\u011fi tarifelerin t\u00fcketiciler i\u00e7in maliyetleri art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Kurumsal tarafta ise \u00e7ip \u00fcreticisi Nvidia, hisselerinde ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en de\u011ferli \u015firketleri s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda ikinci s\u0131raya geriledi. Nvidia’\u0131n hisseleri, d\u00fcn y\u00fczde 3’\u00fcn \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kaybederken \u015firketin piyasa de\u011feri 3,2 trilyon dolara indi. Microsoft ise 3,3 trilyon dolarl\u0131k piyasa de\u011ferliyle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en de\u011ferli \u015firketi \u00fcnvan\u0131n\u0131 yeniden ald\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

New York borsas\u0131nda d\u00fcn Dow Jones endeksi y\u00fczde 0,77 artarken, S&P 500 endeksi y\u00fczde 0,25, Nasdaq endeksi y\u00fczde 0,81 geriledi. ABD’de endeks vadeli kontratlar\u0131 yeni g\u00fcne yatay seyirle ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Avrupa borsalar\u0131nda d\u00fcn \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) ve \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (SNB) faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan al\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 bir seyir hakim oldu.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

BoE, politika faizini piyasa beklentileri do\u011frultusunda son 16 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan y\u00fczde 5,25’te sabit b\u0131rakt\u0131. BoE a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, \u00fcyelerin 7’sinin politika faizini y\u00fczde 5,25’te sabit tutma, 2’sinin 25 baz puan indirerek y\u00fczde 5’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Bankan\u0131n toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131nda politika faizinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmeme karar\u0131n\u0131n baz\u0131 \u00fcyeler i\u00e7in “iyi bir \u015fekilde” dengeli oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Bu geli\u015fmelerle, daha fazla \u00fcyenin faiz indirimini destekleyebilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik beklentilerin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla piyasalarda bankan\u0131n a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda politika faizinde indirime gitme ihtimali y\u00fczde 32’den y\u00fczde 50’ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

SNB, politika faizini ekonomiye destek i\u00e7in ikinci kez 25 baz puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler aras\u0131ndaki politika faizi gev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcndeki \u00f6nc\u00fc konumunu korudu.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Banka, politika faizinin 0,25 baz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclerek y\u00fczde 1,25\u2019e \u00e7ekti.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

SNB a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda enflasyonist bask\u0131n\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla azalmaya devam etti\u011fi belirterek, \u201cSNB politika faizinin bug\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesiyle birlikte banka uygun parasal ko\u015fullar\u0131 muhafaza edebilmektedir. SNB, enflasyonun geli\u015fimini yak\u0131ndan izlemeye devam edecek ve enflasyonun orta vadede fiyat istikrar\u0131yla tutarl\u0131 bir aral\u0131kta kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in gerekirse para politikas\u0131n\u0131 ayarlayacakt\u0131r.\u201d ifadelerine yer verildi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131klamada, SNB’nin \u0130svi\u00e7re para biriminin de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 da g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak faiz indirimi karar\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, bankan\u0131n gerekirse d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda aktif olmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Banka, Fransa Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Emmanuel Macron’un Fransa’da erken se\u00e7im \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, \u00fclkenin Avrupa Birli\u011fi’ne (AB) olan ihracat\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131 gerek\u00e7esiyle, \u0130svi\u00e7re frang\u0131n\u0131n avro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda fazla de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na izin vermekten ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131yordu.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Analistler, bankan\u0131n k\u00fcresel politika gev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde lider konumunu korudu\u011funu ve bu karar\u0131n di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n da faiz indirimlerine gidebilmeleri konusunda cesaretlendirebilece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Norve\u00e7 Merkez Bankas\u0131 ise politika faizini y\u00fczde 4,50’de sabit b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

ECB yetkililerinin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 da piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda yer al\u0131rken ECB \u00fcyesi Klaas Knot, enflasyonun, ECB’nin y\u00fczde 2 hedefine do\u011fru ilerledi\u011finin g\u00f6r\u00fclmesiyle birlikte bu y\u0131l bir veya iki faiz indirimi daha yap\u0131labilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan Almanya’n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Ifo), \u00fclkenin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini, enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n normalle\u015fmesi nedeniyle yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etti.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 0,2’den y\u00fczde 0,4\u2019e y\u00fckseltilirken, 2025 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 1,5 olarak korundu.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), Avro B\u00f6lgesi’nde enflasyonun hedefe do\u011fru geriledi\u011fini belirterek Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (ECB) gelecek verilere ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak para politikas\u0131 duru\u015funu kademeli olarak gev\u015fetebilece\u011fini bildirdi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Alman Bankac\u0131l\u0131k D\u00fczenleme ve Denetleme Kurumu (BaFin), Citigroup\u2019a borsada al\u0131m sat\u0131m sistemleri ve etkin risk kontrolleri eksiklikleri nedeniyle 12,98 milyon avro para cezas\u0131 verdi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, d\u00fcn y\u00fczde 0,4 azal\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,0702 seviyesinden tamamlayan avro\/dolar paritesi, \u015fu s\u0131ralarda \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,2 \u00fczerinde 1,0720 seviyesinde bulunuyor<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00fcn \u0130ngiltere’de FTSE 100 endeksi y\u00fczde 0,82, Fransa’da CAC 40 endeksi y\u00fczde 1,34, Almanya’da DAX 40 endeksi y\u00fczde 1,03 ve \u0130talya’da MIB 30 endeksi y\u00fczde 1,37 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

New York borsas\u0131ndaki sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 Asya piyasalar\u0131na da ta\u015f\u0131n\u0131rken, b\u00f6lgede bug\u00fcn Japonya’da a\u00e7\u0131klanan enflasyon verisi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dclkede, may\u0131s ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin enflasyon y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 2,5’yen y\u00fczde 2,8’e \u00e7\u0131karken, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon da y\u00fczde 2,2’den y\u00fczde 2,5’e y\u00fckseldi. Bu geli\u015fmelerle, 159 seviyesinin \u00fczerini test eden dolar\/yen paritesi \u015fu s\u0131ralarda 158,9 seviyelerinde seyrediyor.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Analistler, ileriki aylarda Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) yetkililerinin faiz art\u0131rmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Kapan\u0131\u015fa yak\u0131n Japonya’da Nikkei 225 endeksi yatay seyrederken, \u00c7in’de \u015eanghay bile\u015fik endeksi y\u00fczde 0,4 ve Hong Kong’da Hang Seng endeksi y\u00fczde 1,7, G\u00fcney Kore’de Kospi endeksi y\u00fczde 0,8 geriledi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ise d\u00fcn al\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 bir seyir izleyen Borsa \u0130stanbul’da BIST 100 endeksi, g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2,57 art\u0131\u015fla 10.739,94 puandan tamamlad\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00fcn Chatham House taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenen Londra Konferans\u0131 2024’te konu\u015fan T\u00fcrkiye Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, piyasan\u0131n ekonomi program\u0131yla enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclece\u011fine ikna olmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, “\u015eimdi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecinin e\u015fi\u011findeyiz.” dedi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Dolar\/TL, d\u00fcn g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,87 \u00fczerinde 32,8141’den tamamlamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bug\u00fcn bankalararas\u0131 piyasan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda 32,8650 seviyesinden i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Analistler, bug\u00fcn T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Yurt D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (YD-\u00dcFE), ABD’de ve Avrupa’da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak imalat sanayi ve hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksinin (PMI) ile ABD’de 2. el konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirerek, teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan BIST 100 endeksinde 10.800 ve 10.900 seviyelerinin diren\u00e7, 10.600 ve 10.500 puan\u0131n destek konumunda oldu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD’de ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan enflasyon verisi ile bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan perakende sat\u0131\u015flar verisi Fed’in bu y\u0131l faiz indirimine gidece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik beklentilerini desteklemesine kar\u015f\u0131n d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 verisi kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller verdi. \u00dclkede, ilk kez i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurusunda bulunanlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131, 15 Haziran ile biten haftada 5 bin azalarak 238 bine gerilemesine kar\u015f\u0131n beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46692,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[85],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spor"],"yoast_head":"\nK\u00fcresel piyasalar 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