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<\/div>\nT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 2025-2027 d\u00f6nemini i\u00e7eren Orta Vadeli Program\u0131 (OVP), T\u00fcrkiye Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz,\u201d OVP\u2019nin temel amac\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonun tek haneye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi oldu\u011funu\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, yeni d\u00f6nemde para, maliye ve gelirler politikalar\u0131n\u0131n e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn sa\u011flanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. OVP\u2019de 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 3,5\u2019e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 33\u2019ten y\u00fczde 41,5\u2019e revize edildi. Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda y\u00fczde 1,7\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015fmesi beklenirken, b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 6,4\u2019l\u00fck hedefin alt\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,9\u2019a gerilemesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u00dc\u00e7 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6neme dair ekonomi beklentilerinin yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 Orta Vadeli Program (OVP) T\u00fcrkiye Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kanlar \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n
\u201cEkonomik istikrar ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemek i\u00e7in belirlenen politikalar ve reformlar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde ekonomimizin yol haritas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturacak.<\/p>\n
Orta Vadeli Program, merkezi y\u00f6netim b\u00fct\u00e7esinin haz\u0131rl\u0131k s\u00fcrecini ba\u015flatmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n ilk y\u0131l\u0131na y\u00f6nelik uygulanacak politikalar ve somut tedbirler, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Y\u0131ll\u0131k Program\u0131\u2019nda ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 olarak yer alacak.<\/p>\n
2025-2027 d\u00f6nemini kapsayan OVP haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 belirli bir takvim \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde planlanm\u0131\u015f ve ad\u0131m ad\u0131m ilerlemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n
Son bir y\u0131la bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda mevcut tahminler b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini korumaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Son bir y\u0131lda b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki dengelenme ile birlikte cari denge beklentilerimizin alt\u0131na geriledi. \u0130\u015fsizlik oranlar\u0131 hedeflerin \u00f6tesinde iyile\u015fme g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n
B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, kamu harcamalar\u0131nda etkinli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nlemlerle \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenden daha olumludur. Program\u0131m\u0131z ba\u015far\u0131yla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmakta ve sonu\u00e7 \u00fcretmektedir.<\/p>\n
-\u201cDezenflasyon e\u011filimi s\u00fcrecek\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n Ge\u00e7i\u015f d\u00f6neminin tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve dezenflasyon d\u00f6neminin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rebiliyoruz.<\/p>\n Dezenflasyon s\u00fcreci haziran ay\u0131ndan itibaren ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu tarihten itibaren enflasyon 23,5 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydedildi.<\/p>\n A\u011fustos verileri dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecinin etkili olmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. Eyl\u00fcl ve sonras\u0131 bu e\u011filimin s\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na olan g\u00fcven \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artt\u0131. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 mevduatlar\u0131n toplam mevduatlar i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 ciddi bir y\u00fckseli\u015f kaydetti.<\/p>\n -\u201cD\u0131\u015f \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z artt\u0131\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n Kur korumal\u0131 mevduat\u0131n pay\u0131 toplam mevduatlar i\u00e7inde y\u00fczde 10\u2019a kadar geriledi. Kur korumal\u0131 mevduat 47,8 milyar dolar<\/a>a kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n Br\u00fct uluslararas\u0131 rezervlerimizin 26 May\u0131s 2023\u2019te 98,5 milyar dolar<\/a> seviyesinden 23 A\u011fustos 2024 tarihinde 150,4 milyar dolar<\/a>a y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n Rezervlerde 52 milyar dolar<\/a>l\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ekonomimizin d\u0131\u015f \u015fok kar\u015f\u0131 dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n Deprem ve kamu harcamalar\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e dengesini bozdu. 2023\u2019\u00fcn Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 5,2\u2019ye geriledi. B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 3,6 puan\u0131 deprem harcamlar\u0131ndan kaynaklanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n Belirledi\u011fimiz 36 eylemden 24\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn tamamlam\u0131\u015f bulunmaktay\u0131z.<\/p>\n -\u201cTemel ama\u00e7 enflasyonda tek hane\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n amac\u0131 enflasyonun tek haneye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi, yat\u0131r\u0131m, istihdam, \u00fcretim ve ihracat\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, gelirin toplumun t\u00fcm kesimlerine adil da\u011f\u0131t\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r<\/p>\n Para, maliye ve gelirler politikalar\u0131n\u0131n e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fc sa\u011flanacak, enflasyon m\u00fccadele \u00f6ncelikli alan olacakt\u0131r. Finansal istikrar\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n Orta ve uzun vadede, reformlar\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131yla orta-\u00fcst gelir grubundan y\u00fcksek gelirli \u00fclkeler grubuna \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n -B\u00fcy\u00fcmeye a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyon<\/strong><\/p>\n 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 3,5\u2019e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n 2025 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi y\u00fczde 5 olarak belirlendi. 2026 ve 2027 y\u0131llar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 4,5 ve y\u00fczde 5\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n OVP b\u00fcy\u00fcme patikas\u0131, enflasyonist bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmadan, s\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ekonomik kalk\u0131nmay\u0131 hedefleyen bir yakla\u015f\u0131mla olu\u015fturuldu.<\/p>\n OVP b\u00fcy\u00fcme patikas\u0131 dezenflasyon s\u00fcreciyle uyumlu. K\u0131sa vadede enflasyon m\u00fccadele b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde ge\u00e7iri etkiler yapsa da orta ve uzun vadede iki hedef uyumludur.<\/p>\n Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na milli gelirin 2024\u2019te 15 bin 551 dolar<\/a>, 2025\u2019te 17 bin 28 dolar<\/a>, 2026\u2019da 18 bin 990 dolar<\/a> ve 2027\u2019de 20 bin 420 dolar<\/a> olmas\u0131 hedefleniyor.<\/p>\n -\u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 beklentisi 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 10,3\u2019ten y\u00fczde 9,3\u2019e indirildi. 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 9,9\u2019dan y\u00fczde 9,6\u2019ya revize edildi.<\/p>\n 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda i\u015fsizli\u011fin y\u00fczde 9,2\u2019ye, 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 8,8\u2019e gerilemesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n OVP d\u00f6nemimiz boyunca 2,3 milyon ilave istihdam olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bu hedef b\u00fcy\u00fcme potansiyelimizi art\u0131r\u0131rken, i\u015fsizli\u011fi kademeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecektir.<\/p>\n -Enflasyon beklentilerine g\u00fcncelleme<\/strong><\/p>\n 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in enflasyon hedefi y\u00fczde 33\u2019ten y\u00fczde 41,5\u2019e y\u00fckseltildi. 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in enflasyon hedefi y\u00fczde 15,2\u2019den y\u00fczde 17,5\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n Enflasyonun 2026\u2019da y\u00fczde 9,7 ile tek haneli seviyelere inmesi hedefleniyor (\u00d6nceki y\u00fczde 8,5). 2027 y\u0131l\u0131 enflasyon hedefi y\u00fczde 7 olarak belirlendi.<\/p>\n -Cari a\u00e7\u0131k beklentisinde iyile\u015fme<\/p>\n Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 2024 sonunda y\u00fczde 1,7\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 2025\u2019te y\u00fczde 2 seviyesine gerilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n \u0130hracat\u0131n 2024\u2019te 264 milyar dolar<\/a>a y\u00fckselmesi, ithalat\u0131n 345 milyar dolar<\/a>a d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n -B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131nda pozitif beklenti<\/strong><\/p>\n 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l b\u00fct\u00e7ede \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fczde 6,4 hedefin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,9 olarak bekleniyor.<\/p>\n B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,1; 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,5 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n B\u00fct\u00e7e harcamalar\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131nda 2 puana yak\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n destekleyici rol\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6stermekte.<\/p>\n Bu y\u0131l turizm gelirinin 59,6 milyar dolar<\/a> olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n -D\u0131\u015f ticaret tahminleri<\/strong><\/p>\n Bu y\u0131l sonu ihracat\u0131n 264 milyar dolar<\/a>, ithalat\u0131n 345 milyar dolar<\/a> olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n 2025\u2019te ihracat\u0131n 279,6 milyar dolar<\/a>, ithalat\u0131n 369 milyar dolar<\/a> olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n 2026\u2019da ihracat\u0131n 296,1 milyar dolar<\/a>, ithalat\u0131n 390,6 milyar dolar<\/a> olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n -\u201cVergi taban\u0131 geni\u015fleyecek\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n Ekonomide Kay\u0131t D\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n Azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 da kritik bir reform alan\u0131d\u0131r. Kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ekonomiyle m\u00fccadele ederek, haks\u0131z rekabeti engellemeyi, vergi taban\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmeyi, vergi adaletini sa\u011flamay\u0131 ve kamu gelirlerini art\u0131rmay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yoruz.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n