{"id":6959,"date":"2023-05-15T11:30:23","date_gmt":"2023-05-15T11:30:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/index.php\/2023\/05\/15\/ab-buyume-ve-enflasyon-beklentisini-yukseltti\/"},"modified":"2023-05-15T11:30:23","modified_gmt":"2023-05-15T11:30:23","slug":"ab-buyume-ve-enflasyon-beklentisini-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/?p=6959","title":{"rendered":"AB, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon beklentisini y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB), Avro B\u00f6lgesi genelinde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon beklentisini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

AB Komisyonu\u2019nun \u201cAvrupa Ekonomik Tahminleri 2023 \u0130lkbahar\u201d raporu yay\u0131mland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, AB ekonomisinin 2023\u2019te y\u00fczde 1, 2024\u2019te y\u00fczde 1,7, Avro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisinin de 2023\u2019te y\u00fczde 1,1 ve 2024\u2019te y\u00fczde 1,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. AB Komisyonu\u2019nun bir \u00f6nceki \u201cK\u0131\u015f\u201d raporunda, 2023\u2019te AB\u2019nin y\u00fczde 0,8, Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin y\u00fczde 0,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Son raporla birlikte AB ve Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin bu y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri y\u00fczde 0,2 oran\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Enflasyon beklentisi<\/p>\n

AB Komisyonu, Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ne ili\u015fkin enflasyon beklentisini 2023 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 5,6\u2019dan y\u00fczde 5,8\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. AB i\u00e7in de enflasyon \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 6,4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 6,7\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylece AB Komisyonu\u2019nun AB ve Avro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyon beklentileri de bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edildi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, enflasyonun 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda AB\u2019de y\u00fczde 3,1, Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde y\u00fczde 2,8 olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l enflasyon oran\u0131 AB\u2019de y\u00fczde 9,2 Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde de y\u00fczde 8,4 seviyesinde \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Raporda, bu y\u0131l \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in y\u00fczde 0,5 ve Estonya\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,4 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fi, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,2, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 0,7, \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 1,2 ve \u0130spanya\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 1,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi kaydedilirken, enflasyonun da bu y\u0131l Almanya\u2019da y\u00fczde 6,8, Fransa\u2019da y\u00fczde 5,5, \u0130talya\u2019da y\u00fczde 6,1 ve \u0130spanya\u2019da y\u00fczde 4 olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\u2013 A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskler<\/p>\n

Ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme y\u00f6nelik a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkati \u00e7ekilen raporda, \u201cDaha kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon, hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya devam edebilir.\u201d ifadesi kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, finansal stresin art\u0131\u015f d\u00f6nemine girmesinin riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nmaya yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi ve bunun bor\u00e7 verme standartlar\u0131n\u0131 belirgin bi\u00e7imde zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilece\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Geni\u015flemeci mali politika duru\u015funun enflasyonu daha da art\u0131rabilece\u011fi belirtilen raporda, \u201cBankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki \u00e7alkant\u0131 veya daha geni\u015f jeopolitik gerilimler k\u00fcresel ekonomi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yeni zorluklar ortaya \u00e7\u0131karabilir.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulunuldu.<\/p>\n

Raporda, enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki olumlu geli\u015fmelerin enflasyonun daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmesine ve i\u00e7 talebe olumlu yans\u0131malara yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi ancak devam eden Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 belirsizlikler ortaya koydu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,5, 2024\u2019te y\u00fczde 4 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi, enflasyonun bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 45, 2024\u2019te y\u00fczde 30,3 olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n