<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen yapay zeka \u015firketlerinden Anthropic\u2019in CEO\u2019su Dario Amodei, yapay zekan\u0131n birka\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131 dramatik bi\u00e7imde sarsabilece\u011fi konusunda uyar\u0131da bulundu. Amodei\u2019ye g\u00f6re, h\u00fck\u00fcmetler ve \u015firketler bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme haz\u0131r de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
Amodei, \u201cYapay zeka neredeyse t\u00fcm zihinsel i\u015flerde insanlardan daha iyi hale geliyor\u201d dedi. Bu geli\u015fmelerin, s\u0131radan beyaz yaka i\u015fler de dahil olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok meslek grubunu tehdit etti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fczde 20 i\u015fsizlik riski<\/em> Bu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc, daha \u00f6nce akademisyenlerin ve ekonomistlerin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131lar\u0131 teyit eder nitelikte. Ancak fark\u0131, bu kez uyar\u0131n\u0131n do\u011frudan sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn i\u00e7inden, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yapay zeka \u015firketinin ba\u015f\u0131ndan geliyor olmas\u0131.<\/p>\n Y\u00fcksek vas\u0131fl\u0131 i\u015fler de risk alt\u0131nda<\/em> Halihaz\u0131rda otomasyon kullan\u0131m\u0131 art\u0131yor<\/em> Ge\u00e7en hafta Anthropic, tek ba\u015f\u0131na 7 saat boyunca \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilen yeni bir model tan\u0131tt\u0131. Amodei, s\u0131radan vatanda\u015flara \u015funu tavsiye etti: \u201cYapay zekay\u0131 kullanmay\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenin.\u201d<\/p>\n \u201cAI vergisi\u201d \u00f6nerisi<\/em> \u201cBu benim ekonomik \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ma uygun de\u011fil, ama yine de konu\u015fmam\u0131z gereken bir \u015fey.\u201d<\/p>\n Yeni bir d\u00f6nem: H\u0131zl\u0131, yayg\u0131n, zor adapte olunan<\/em> Her i\u015f de\u011fil, baz\u0131 g\u00f6revler otomatikle\u015febilir \u201cGe\u00e7mi\u015fte yeni i\u015fler ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131, ama bu kez o i\u015fleri de makineler bizden h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenebilir.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
Amodei\u2019nin Axios\u2019a verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, yapay zekan\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1 ila 5 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde t\u00fcm giri\u015f seviyesi beyaz yaka i\u015flerin yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rabilece\u011fini ve ABD\u2019de i\u015fsizli\u011fi y\u00fczde 20\u2019ye kadar \u00e7\u0131karabilece\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bu oran, pandemi d\u00f6nemindeki zirveye yakla\u015fan seviyelere i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte teknolojik de\u011fi\u015fimler genellikle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck vas\u0131fl\u0131 i\u015fleri otomatikle\u015ftirirken, insanlar\u0131n daha iyi maa\u015fl\u0131 i\u015flere y\u00f6nlendirilebilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. Ancak Amodei\u2019ye g\u00f6re bu kez durum farkl\u0131: \u201cYapay zeka, y\u0131llarca e\u011fitim gerektiren uzmanl\u0131k i\u015flerini de ortadan kald\u0131rabilir.\u201d Bu da e\u011fitimli i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn kolayca yeniden konumland\u0131r\u0131lamayabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n
Anthropic, kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 60\u2019\u0131n\u0131n yapay zekay\u0131 i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc desteklemek i\u00e7in, y\u00fczde 40\u2019\u0131n\u0131n ise tamamen insan eme\u011finin yerine koymak i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Ancak bu oran h\u0131zla otomasyon lehine de\u011fi\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n
Amodei, yapay zekan\u0131n \u00fcretti\u011fi b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik de\u011ferin yaln\u0131zca teknoloji \u015firketlerinde toplanmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in AI \u015firketlerine \u00f6zel vergi konulmas\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6nerdi:<\/p>\n
Amodei, bu teknolojik de\u011fi\u015fimin \u00f6ncekilere k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131, yayg\u0131n ve uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131 zor oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131. Microsoft ve Meta gibi dev \u015firketlerin de personelinin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc kod yazmada AI\u2019dan faydaland\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
Baz\u0131 uzmanlar, AI\u2019nin t\u00fcm i\u015fleri de\u011fil ama belirli g\u00f6revleri otomatikle\u015ftirece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu da insanlara daha yarat\u0131c\u0131, karma\u015f\u0131k g\u00f6revlerde zaman kazand\u0131rabilir. Ancak Virginia \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nden Prof. Anton Korinek, uyar\u0131yor:<\/p>\n