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<\/div>\nPiyasalarda dikkatler, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) bu haftaki toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kacak kararlara \u00e7evrilirken, Bankan\u0131n 15 ay sonra ilk kez politika faizini sabit tutmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Fed yetkililerinin son d\u00f6nemde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve piyasadaki fiyatlamalar, Banka\u2019n\u0131n politika faizini y\u00fczde 5-5,25 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Analistlerin \u00e7o\u011fu, Banka\u2019n\u0131n bu haftaki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n etkilerini de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini ancak enflasyon ve i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn belirsizli\u011fini korumas\u0131 nedeniyle gelecek faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
\u201cFed yetkilileri duraklaman\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n sonu oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelmedi\u011fini belirtti\u201d<\/p>\n
Moody\u2019s Analytics Ba\u015fekonomisti Mark Zandi, yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Fed yetkililerinin, \u201ck\u0131smen mart ay\u0131n\u0131 vuran bankac\u0131l\u0131k krizinin ekonomik yans\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek istedikleri i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 duraklatma niyetinde olduklar\u0131n\u0131\u201d a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a belirttiklerini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Fed yetkililerinin \u201cduraklaman\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n sonu oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelmedi\u011fini\u201d belirtti\u011fini de aktaran Zandi, \u201cFed\u2019in bu haftaki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyorum.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Zandi, bankac\u0131l\u0131k krizinin etkisinin ise en az\u0131ndan \u015fimdiye kadar \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade etti.<\/p>\n
\u201cEnflasyonun y\u00fczde 2 hedefine yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 netle\u015fene kadar faiz indirimi beklemiyorum\u201d<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in temmuz ay\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha gitmesini bekledi\u011fini aktaran Zandi, bunun faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 5,25-5,5 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Zandi, enflasyonun hafiflemesi ve i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131na olan ihtiyac\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131racak kadar so\u011fumas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi i\u00e7in temmuz ay\u0131nda bekledi\u011fi faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n sonuncu olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in faiz indirimlerine ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 zamana ili\u015fkin beklentilerini de aktaran Zandi, \u201cFaiz indirimi \u00e7\u0131tas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu not etmek \u00f6nemli ve enflasyonun y\u00fczde 2 hedefine yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 netle\u015fene kadar ilk faiz indirimini beklemiyorum. Gelecek y\u0131l bu zamana kadar bu pek olas\u0131 de\u011fil.\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
\u201cBu toplant\u0131da faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 pas ge\u00e7ilecek ancak gelecek art\u0131\u015flara kap\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k b\u0131rak\u0131lacak\u201d<\/p>\n
Oxford Economics ABD Ba\u015fekonomisti Ryan Sweet de Fed\u2019in, haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n
Sweet, \u201cFederal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi\u2019nin (FOMC), bu haftaki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 pas ge\u00e7mesi bekleniyor ancak gelecekteki art\u0131\u015flara kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k b\u0131rakacak. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc enflasyon ve i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm belirsizli\u011fini koruyor ve Banka, tam istihdam ve istikrarl\u0131 fiyat hedeflerini yerine getirmekten hala \u00e7ok uzakta.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in, \u201cdot plot (noktasal)\u201d grafi\u011fini i\u00e7eren ekonomik tahminlerini de a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 an\u0131msatan Sweet, bu toplant\u0131da Banka\u2019n\u0131n ileti\u015fiminin \u00f6nemli olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Sweet, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n ise toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 d\u00fczenleyece\u011fi bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131, \u201cpara politikas\u0131 seyrinin gelecek i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 ve enflasyon verilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d vurgulamak i\u00e7in kullanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Ryan Sweet, \u201cFed\u2019in para politikas\u0131ndaki s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n ekonomi \u00fczerinde nas\u0131l bir bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi gerekti\u011fi i\u00e7in haziran ay\u0131nda bir duraklama uygun.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Banka\u2019n\u0131n kredi standartlar\u0131ndaki son s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmadan destek ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Sweet, ancak i\u015fletme yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ve t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkinin boyutunun belirsiz oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u201cSon veriler kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k mesajlar g\u00f6nderiyor, bu da de\u011ferlendirme i\u00e7in duraklaman\u0131n mant\u0131kl\u0131 olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor\u201d<\/p>\n
ING Amerika B\u00f6lgesel Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Padhraic Garvey, ING Uluslararas\u0131 Ba\u015fekonomisti James Knightley ile ING K\u00fcresel Piyasalar Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve \u0130ngiltere, Orta ve Do\u011fu Avrupa B\u00f6lgesi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Chris Turner\u2019\u0131n analizinde ise Fed\u2019in 14 Haziran\u2019da politika faizini sabit b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Analizde, \u201cFed, daha fazla faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k b\u0131rakacak.\u201d denildi.<\/p>\n
FOMC\u2019de para politikas\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ve beklemenin mant\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen bir \u00e7o\u011funluk olaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen analizde, \u201cAyr\u0131ca, son yay\u0131nlanan veriler \u00e7ok kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k mesajlar g\u00f6nderiyor, bu da de\u011ferlendirme i\u00e7in duraklaman\u0131n mant\u0131kl\u0131 olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\u201d ifadesi kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Fed, y\u00fcksek enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na Mart 2022\u2019de ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n ABD\u2019de y\u00fcksek enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ge\u00e7en y\u0131l varl\u0131k al\u0131m operasyonunu tamamlayarak faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ba\u015flayan Fed, Mart 2022\u2019de 25 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla 2018\u2019den itibaren ilk kez faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gitme karar\u0131 alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n Fed, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l may\u0131s toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 50 baz puan ile 2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren en h\u0131zl\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesinin ard\u0131ndan haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 75 baz puanla 1994\u2019ten itibaren en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gitmi\u015f, temmuz, eyl\u00fcl ve kas\u0131m toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda da politika faizini ayn\u0131 oranda art\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l art arda 4 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na giden Fed, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 50 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fa giderek faiz art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Banka, 2023\u2019\u00fcn ilk toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla faiz art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmaya devam etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n Fed, mart ve may\u0131s toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda da faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 yine 25\u2019er baz puan y\u00fckselterek 16 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan y\u00fczde 5-5,25 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n May\u0131s toplant\u0131s\u0131nda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n mart ay\u0131ndan bu yana 10\u2019uncu faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren Banka, faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 toplamda 500 baz puan y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n ABD\u2019de enflasyon, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l haziranda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 9 ile 1981\u2019den itibaren en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rmesinin ard\u0131ndan son olarak nisanda y\u00fczde 4,9 olarak kaydedilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n