\n
\n\tTCMB’nin internet sitesinde Piyasalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 S\u00fcleyman Kutalm\u0131\u015f \u00d6zcan, Yap\u0131sal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Kadir G\u00fcrci, Piyasalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Uzman Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u00d6mer Faruk Karaahmeto\u011flu, Yap\u0131sal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Uzman Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Muhammed Furkan Erdo\u011fan taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan analiz yay\u0131mland\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\tAnalizde, firmalar\u0131n ithalat \u00f6demeleri, finansal y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckler, kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunma ihtiyac\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tercihi gibi nedenlerle d\u00f6viz talep edebildi\u011fi belirtilirken, bu talebi etkileyen unsurlar\u0131n belirlenmesinin finansal istikrar ve para politikas\u0131 etkinli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\tFirmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz talebine ili\u015fkin yayg\u0131n olarak kullan\u0131lan g\u00f6stergelerden birisinin, yabanc\u0131 para (YP) mevduatlar\u0131n toplam mevduat i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtilen analizde, “Parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ile birlikte, firmalar\u0131n YP mevduat oran\u0131, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 60,7 seviyesinden gerileyerek 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 35 seviyesine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.” denildi.<\/p>\n
\n\tAnalizde, YP mevduat pay\u0131ndaki gerilemenin firmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz biriktirme e\u011filimindeki azal\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etmesine kar\u015f\u0131n reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn yava\u015flayan d\u00f6viz talebinin ak\u0131m verilerde daha net g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
\n\tBunun i\u00e7in firmalar\u0131n spot ve vadeli piyasalarda d\u00f6viz i\u015flemlerinin, d\u0131\u015f ticaret kaynakl\u0131 net d\u00f6viz gelirlerinin ve YP cinsi kredi kullan\u0131m ve geri \u00f6demelerinin de dikkate al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi belirtilen analizde bu ama\u00e7la, firmalar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca d\u00f6viz giri\u015f ve \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 netle\u015ftirerek firma baz\u0131nda d\u00f6viz ak\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\tAnalizde, d\u00f6viz ak\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n pozitif olmas\u0131n\u0131n firman\u0131n d\u00f6viz biriktirdi\u011fini, negatif olmas\u0131n\u0131n ise firman\u0131n mevcut d\u00f6viz stokunu azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi aktar\u0131l\u0131rken, bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn 2021 Ocak-2025 May\u0131s d\u00f6nemindeki d\u00f6viz ak\u0131m\u0131 geli\u015fmelerini incelendi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
\n\tBulgular\u0131n, firmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz gelirlerini biriktirme e\u011filiminin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi kaydedilen analizde \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeler yap\u0131ld\u0131:<\/p>\n
\n\t“D\u00f6viz ak\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 firma gruplar\u0131na g\u00f6re inceledi\u011fimizde, zay\u0131flaman\u0131n net ihracat\u00e7\u0131 firmalardan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. S\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6neminde ihracat\u0131n ve YP kredi kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine kar\u015f\u0131n d\u00f6viz ak\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 net ihracat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Net ithalat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz ak\u0131m\u0131 ise ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde negatif ve yatay seyrediyor. Bu durum net ithalat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nceki d\u00f6neme benzer \u015fekilde devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.”<\/p>\n
\n\tAnalizde, d\u00f6viz ak\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n seyrinin firmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz talebinin zaman i\u00e7erisinde azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn son bir y\u0131lda net d\u00f6viz sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 konumuna geldi\u011fi kaydedilerek, bu e\u011filimin d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc mart ay\u0131ndan sonra bir miktar yava\u015flasa da firmalar\u0131n nette d\u00f6viz sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 olmaya devam etti\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
\n\tBununla birlikte, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn d\u00f6viz al\u0131mlar\u0131nda net ithalat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar\u0131n pay\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131lan analizde, 2021 Ocak-2023 May\u0131s d\u00f6neminde ortalama y\u00fczde 57 civar\u0131nda seyreden bu pay\u0131n, parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6nemiyle birlikte y\u00fczde 65 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
\n\tAnalizde, son d\u00f6nemdeki d\u00f6viz talebinde firmalar\u0131n ithalat kaynakl\u0131 ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n daha belirleyici oldu\u011fu kaydedilerek, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemdeki net d\u00f6viz talebini sekt\u00f6rel k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mda da incelendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
\n\tSon 12 ayda d\u00f6viz al\u0131m\u0131 d\u00f6viz sat\u0131m\u0131ndan fazla olan sekt\u00f6rlere odaklan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu sekt\u00f6rlerin toplam net d\u00f6viz al\u0131m\u0131ndaki en y\u00fcksek pay\u0131n, ba\u015fta enerji ile ilgili sekt\u00f6rler olmak \u00fczere otomobil ticareti, demir-\u00e7elik, kimya ve telekom\u00fcnikasyon gibi ithalat\u00e7\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerin olu\u015fturdu\u011funu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
\n\tAnalizde, \u00f6zetle, parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6neminde firmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz biriktirme davran\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ve d\u00f6viz talebinde net bir de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6zlendi\u011fine dikkati \u00e7ekilerek, \u015fu ifadelere yer verildi:<\/p>\n
\n\t“Net ihracat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar finansal sisteme d\u00f6viz arz ederken net ithalat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar uzun d\u00f6nem ortalamas\u0131na yak\u0131n bir d\u00f6viz talebi sergiliyor. Yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclen d\u00f6viz al\u0131mlar\u0131nda da net ithalat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret \u00f6demeleri belirleyici oluyor. Bu geli\u015fmeler net ihracat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz arz\u0131na yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 katk\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor.”<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
TCMB’nin internet sitesinde Piyasalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 S\u00fcleyman Kutalm\u0131\u015f \u00d6zcan, Yap\u0131sal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Kadir G\u00fcrci, Piyasalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Uzman Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u00d6mer Faruk Karaahmeto\u011flu, Yap\u0131sal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Uzman Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Muhammed Furkan Erdo\u011fan taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan analiz yay\u0131mland\u0131.
Analizde, firmalar\u0131n ithalat \u00f6demeleri, finansal y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckler, kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunma ihtiyac\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89503,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[101,86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-89502","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-manset","category-turkiye"],"yoast_head":"\n
TCMB'den "Reel Sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn D\u00f6viz Talebi Geli\u015fmeleri" analizi -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/?p=89502\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"TCMB'den "Reel Sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn D\u00f6viz Talebi Geli\u015fmeleri" analizi -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"
TCMB’nin internet sitesinde Piyasalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 S\u00fcleyman Kutalm\u0131\u015f \u00d6zcan, Yap\u0131sal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Kadir G\u00fcrci, Piyasalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Uzman Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u00d6mer Faruk Karaahmeto\u011flu, Yap\u0131sal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Uzman Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Muhammed Furkan Erdo\u011fan taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan analiz yay\u0131mland\u0131.
Analizde, firmalar\u0131n ithalat \u00f6demeleri, finansal y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckler, kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunma ihtiyac\u0131\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/?p=89502\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-08-20T17:11:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/merkez-bankasi-binasi-hd-aa-1509968-740x420.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 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TCMB’nin internet sitesinde Piyasalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 S\u00fcleyman Kutalm\u0131\u015f \u00d6zcan, Yap\u0131sal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Kadir G\u00fcrci, Piyasalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Uzman Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u00d6mer Faruk Karaahmeto\u011flu, Yap\u0131sal Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Uzman Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Muhammed Furkan Erdo\u011fan taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan analiz yay\u0131mland\u0131.
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