{"id":90278,"date":"2025-08-24T13:59:25","date_gmt":"2025-08-24T10:59:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/24\/emtia-piyasalarinda-faiz-indirim-beklentisi-fiyatlandi\/"},"modified":"2025-08-24T13:59:25","modified_gmt":"2025-08-24T10:59:25","slug":"emtia-piyasalarinda-faiz-indirim-beklentisi-fiyatlandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/?p=90278","title":{"rendered":"Emtia piyasalar\u0131nda faiz indirim beklentisi fiyatland\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n


\n\tTamamlanan haftada, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda yer alan Jackson Hole Ekonomi Politikas\u0131 Sempozyumu\u2019nda konu\u015fan Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, faiz indirimine kap\u0131 aralayarak, “Politikan\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 b\u00f6lgede olmas\u0131yla birlikte temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve de\u011fi\u015fen risk dengesi, politika duru\u015fumuzu ayarlamam\u0131z\u0131 gerektirebilir” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tPowell, k\u0131sa vadede enflasyona y\u00f6nelik risklerin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc, istihdama y\u00f6nelik risklerin ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n


\n\tPara politikas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nceden belirlenmi\u015f bir rotada olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yineleyen Powell, Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) \u00fcyelerinin kararlar\u0131n\u0131 yaln\u0131zca verileri ve bunlar\u0131n ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ile risk dengesi \u00fczerindeki etkilerini de\u011ferlendirerek alacaklar\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tS\u00f6z konusu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar sonras\u0131 para piyasalar\u0131ndaki fiyatlamalarda, eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Fed’in faiz indirimine gitme ihtimali y\u00fczde 75 olurken, y\u0131l sonuna kadar toplamda iki faiz indirim beklentisi korunuyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tAnalistler, bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ve Fed\u2019in enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi olarak dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekirdek ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 fiyat endeksi verilerinden al\u0131nacak sinyallerin, bankan\u0131n faiz indirimi beklentileri \u00fczerinde etkili olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi.<\/p>\n


\n\tBununla birlikte, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Powell\u2019\u0131n faiz indirimine kap\u0131 aralayan konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n reel faiz beklentilerini azaltarak dolar endeksini bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten analistler, bu geli\u015fmenin faiz getirisi olmayan yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131na y\u00f6neli\u015fi art\u0131rabilece\u011fini ve de\u011ferli metaller ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere emtia fiyatlar\u0131na pozitif yans\u0131yabilece\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n


\n\tJeopolitik tarafta ise Rusya ve Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaki bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecinin yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda kalmaya devam etmesine ili\u015fkin analistler, taraflar\u0131n s\u00fcrecin t\u0131kanmas\u0131ndan birbirlerini sorumlu tutmas\u0131n\u0131n, bar\u0131\u015f beklentileriyle olu\u015fan fiyat hareketlerini t\u00f6rp\u00fcleyebilece\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tS\u00f6z konusu geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan ABD’nin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi haftay\u0131 y\u00fczde 4,26 seviyesinde tamamlarken, dolar endeksi y\u00fczde 0,1 azal\u0131\u015fla 97,7’ye indi.<\/p>\n


\n\tG\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f alt\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131<\/h2>\n


\n\tDe\u011ferli metaller, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n Jackson Hole Ekonomi Politikas\u0131 Sempozyumu\u2019ndaki konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7lenen faiz indirimi beklentileriyle haftay\u0131 pozitif bir seyirle tamamlarken, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana kaydetti\u011fi kazan\u00e7 alt\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tG\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyatlar\u0131, Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine y\u00f6nelik beklentiler, spot piyasadaki daralma sinyalleri ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n alt\u0131na alternatiflere y\u00f6nelmesiyle alt\u0131ndan daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f kaydederken, alt\u0131n\/g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f rasyosu 9 Aral\u0131k 2024 haftas\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirerek 86,7 seviyesinden haftay\u0131 tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tHem k\u0131ymetli hem de end\u00fcstriyel bir metal olan g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, tamamlanan haftada y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana y\u00fczde 34,6 de\u011fer kazanarak, alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 28,5\u2019lik y\u00fckseli\u015fini geride b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tAnalistler, yap\u0131sal piyasa a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n be\u015finci y\u0131l\u0131na yakla\u015fan g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte end\u00fcstriyel talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini korudu\u011funu, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ise alt\u0131na g\u00f6re daha uygun fiyatl\u0131 bir alternatif olarak talebin kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 ivmeyi koruyabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n


\n\tBu geli\u015fmelerle de\u011ferli metallerde, ons baz\u0131nda fiyatlar, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte y\u00fczde 2,3, platinde y\u00fczde 1,8, alt\u0131nda ve paladyumda y\u00fczde 1,1 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n


\n\tBaz metallerde \u00c7in bask\u0131s\u0131<\/h2>\n


\n\tBaz metallerde, tamamlanan haftada Fed\u2019den gelen g\u00fcvercin mesajlar ve \u00c7in talebine ili\u015fkin haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamalar \u00fczerinde etkili oldu.<\/p>\n


\n\t\u00c7in’in temmuz ay\u0131ndaki i\u015flenmemi\u015f al\u00fcminyum ve \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 38,2 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tG\u00fcmr\u00fck Genel \u0130daresi verilerine g\u00f6re, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck hafif metal t\u00fcketicisi olan \u00fclke ge\u00e7en ay 360 bin ton i\u015flenmemi\u015f al\u00fcminyum ve \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithal etti.<\/p>\n


\n\tAnalistler, Fed\u2019in g\u00fcvercin duru\u015funun dolar endeksi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla bak\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilece\u011fini, \u00c7in\u2019de ise zay\u0131f sanayi \u00fcretimi verileri sonras\u0131 1 ve 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k kredi faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n (LPR) da sabit tutulmas\u0131yla baz metallere y\u00f6nelik i\u015ftah\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n


\n\tBu geli\u015fmelerle baz metallerde tezgah \u00fcst\u00fc piyasada bu hafta fiyatlar libre baz\u0131nda bak\u0131rda y\u00fczde 0,5, nikelde y\u00fczde 1,3 de\u011fer kaybederken, al\u00fcminyumda ve kur\u015funda y\u00fczde 0,7, \u00e7inkoda y\u00fczde 0,4 de\u011fer kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tPetrol fiyatlar\u0131na jeopolitik destek<\/h2>\n


\n\tTamamlanan haftada petrol fiyatlamalar\u0131nda jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler etkili olurken, Rusya ve Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecinin t\u0131kanmas\u0131ndan birbirlerini sorumlu tutmas\u0131 ve ABD verilerinin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol t\u00fcketicisinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc talep sinyalleri vermesi fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tUkrayna\u2019da bar\u0131\u015fa giden yol belirsizli\u011fini korurken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaki sava\u015f\u0131 diplomatik yollarla sona erdirece\u011fi beklentisiyle son iki haftad\u0131r ya\u015fanan sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan temkinli hareket etti.<\/p>\n


\n\tUkrayna ordusu, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Avrupa\u2019ya giden Druzhba petrol boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n kritik bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olan Unecha petrol pompalama istasyonunu yeniden vurdu.<\/p>\n


\n\tPetrol fiyatlar\u0131, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta beklentilerin \u00fczerinde azalmas\u0131yla da desteklendi.<\/p>\n


\n\tABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresine g\u00f6re, 15 A\u011fustos\u2019ta sona eren haftada ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131 6 milyon varil azal\u0131rken, analistlerin beklentisi 1,8 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n


\n\tDo\u011fal gaz taraf\u0131nda ise fiyatlar, talep d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle geriledi. Cheniere\u2019in Sabine Pass ve Sempra\u2019n\u0131n Cameron LNG terminallerinde ya\u015fanan teknik aksakl\u0131klar t\u00fcketimi azaltt\u0131, \u00fclke genelindeki talep de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n


\n\tBu geli\u015fmelerle, Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 y\u00fczde 2,36 artarken, New York Ticaret Borsas\u0131’nda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren do\u011fal gaz\u0131n \u0130ngiliz termal birimi (MMBtu) cinsinden fiyat\u0131 da y\u00fczde 4 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n


\n\tTar\u0131m emtia fiyatlar\u0131 kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyretti<\/h2>\n


\n\tTamamlanan haftada tar\u0131m emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda arz fazlas\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc talep birlikte izlendi.<\/p>\n


\n\tAvustralya bu\u011fday \u00fcretim tahmininin 34 milyon tona \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 rekor seviyelere i\u015faret ederken, Karadeniz B\u00f6lgesi’nde s\u00fcren kurakl\u0131k ve M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n acil bu\u011fday al\u0131mlar\u0131 piyasalardaki fiyatlamalar\u0131 destekledi.<\/p>\n


\n\tSoya fasulyesinde ise ABD\u2019de rekor i\u015fleme hacmi ve s\u0131k\u0131 stoklar talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n


\n\tBu geli\u015fmelerle, bu hafta Chicago Ticaret Borsas\u0131’nda kile ba\u015f\u0131na fiyatlar pirin\u00e7te y\u00fczde 9,2 de\u011fer kaybederken, soya fasulyesinde y\u00fczde 1,5, bu\u011fdayda y\u00fczde 0,1 ve m\u0131s\u0131rda y\u00fczde 1,6 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tKahve fiyatlamalar\u0131nda, ABD\u2019nin Brezilya\u2019ya uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 50\u2019lik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, Brezilya\u2019n\u0131n 2025 mahsul\u00fcn\u00fcn beklenenden y\u00fczde 10 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi ve a\u011fustos ba\u015f\u0131ndaki don olaylar\u0131n\u0131n gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n rekoltesini olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi de y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekledi.<\/p>\n


\n\tBununla birlikte analistler, piyasalardaki belirsizlik ve arz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn fonlar\u0131 spek\u00fclatif al\u0131mlara te\u015fvik etti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n


\n\tABD’de faaliyet g\u00f6steren emtia borsas\u0131 Intercontinental Exchange’te libre baz\u0131nda fiyatlar, kahvede y\u00fczde 13,1 ve pamukta y\u00fczde 1,3 artarken, \u015fekerde yatay seyretti. Kakaonun ton ba\u015f\u0131na fiyat\u0131 ise haftay\u0131 y\u00fczde 5,4 azal\u0131\u015fla tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tamamlanan haftada, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda yer alan Jackson Hole Ekonomi Politikas\u0131 Sempozyumu\u2019nda konu\u015fan Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, faiz indirimine kap\u0131 aralayarak, “Politikan\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 b\u00f6lgede olmas\u0131yla birlikte temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve de\u011fi\u015fen risk dengesi, politika duru\u015fumuzu ayarlamam\u0131z\u0131 gerektirebilir” ifadelerini kulland\u0131. Powell, k\u0131sa vadede enflasyona y\u00f6nelik risklerin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc, istihdama y\u00f6nelik risklerin ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":90279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[101,86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-90278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-manset","category-turkiye"],"yoast_head":"\nEmtia piyasalar\u0131nda faiz indirim beklentisi fiyatland\u0131 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kibrisdakik.com\/?p=90278\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Emtia piyasalar\u0131nda faiz indirim beklentisi fiyatland\u0131 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\" Tamamlanan haftada, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda yer alan Jackson Hole Ekonomi Politikas\u0131 Sempozyumu\u2019nda konu\u015fan Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, faiz indirimine kap\u0131 aralayarak, “Politikan\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 b\u00f6lgede olmas\u0131yla birlikte temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve de\u011fi\u015fen risk dengesi, politika duru\u015fumuzu ayarlamam\u0131z\u0131 gerektirebilir” ifadelerini kulland\u0131. 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