<\/p>\n
\n\t\u0130klim Eylem \u0130zleyicisi\u2019nin (Climate Action Tracker) g\u00fcncel analizine g\u00f6re, Cop30 zirvesi \u00f6ncesi \u00fclkelerin sundu\u011fu yeni ulusal katk\u0131 beyanlar\u0131, \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131lda da tehlikeli \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in yeterli ilerleme sa\u011flamad\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re d\u00fcnya, sanayi \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6neme k\u0131yasla 2,6 derecelik art\u0131\u015fla ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki seviyede kalm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n
\n\tBu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc, t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin \u00fczerinde uzla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 Paris \u0130klim Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019nda yer alan s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k \u015fekilde ihlali anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bilim insanlar\u0131na g\u00f6re bu seviyedeki bir \u0131s\u0131nma, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hava olaylar\u0131n\u0131n, kurakl\u0131klar\u0131n ve tar\u0131mda b\u00fcy\u00fck kay\u0131plar\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cfelaket \u00e7a\u011f\u0131na\u201d kap\u0131 aralayacak.<\/p>\n
\n\tAyr\u0131 bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada ise fosil yak\u0131t emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 1 artarak tarihin en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi bildirildi. Son on y\u0131lda emisyonlar y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama y\u00fczde 0,8 artarken, bundan \u00f6nceki on y\u0131lda bu oran y\u00fczde 2 idi. Yenilenebilir enerjinin h\u0131zl\u0131 k\u00fcresel yay\u0131l\u0131m\u0131, enerji talebindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaya yakla\u015fsa da hen\u00fcz tam olarak a\u015fabilmi\u015f de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
\n\tClimate Analytics CEO\u2019su Bill Hare, 2,6 derecelik \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n B\u00fcy\u00fck Okyanus ak\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, mercan kayal\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n yok olmas\u0131, buz tabakalar\u0131n\u0131n geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fs\u00fcz \u015fekilde erimesi ve Amazon ya\u011fmur ormanlar\u0131n\u0131n savana d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi gibi kritik e\u015fiklerin tetiklenebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Hare, bu senaryonun Avrupa ve Asya\u2019da tar\u0131m\u0131n sona ermesine, k\u0131talarda \u00f6l\u00fcmc\u00fcl s\u0131cakl\u0131k ve nem art\u0131\u015f\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\tD\u00fcnya, sanayi devriminden bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3 derece \u0131s\u0131nd\u0131. Bu art\u0131\u015f bile f\u0131rt\u0131na, sel, yang\u0131n ve kurakl\u0131k gibi afetlerde belirgin y\u00fckseli\u015flere neden olmu\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n
\n\tParis Anla\u015fmas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda \u00fclkelerin emisyon azalt\u0131m hedeflerini d\u00fczenli olarak g\u00fcncellemesi gerekiyor. Ancak Bel\u00e9m\u2019de d\u00fczenlenen Cop30 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri \u00f6ncesinde yaln\u0131zca yakla\u015f\u0131k 100 \u00fclke yeni beyanlar\u0131n\u0131 sundu. A\u00e7\u0131klanan hedefler ise k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 frenlemek i\u00e7in gerekli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc sa\u011flam\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\n\t\u00dclkelerin hem net s\u0131f\u0131r taahh\u00fctlerinin hem de ulusal katk\u0131 planlar\u0131n\u0131n hesaba kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 senaryoda bile tablo k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Climate Action Tracker, ABD\u2019nin Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7ekilmesinin de etkisiyle k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma beklentisini 2,1 dereceden 2,2 dereceye y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n
\n\tABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump iklim krizini \u201cuydurma\u201d olarak niteliyor ve \u00fclkesinde iklim politikalar\u0131n\u0131 geri \u00e7ekerken petrol ve gaz \u00fcretimini geni\u015fletmek i\u00e7in de \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131 yap\u0131yor. Bu y\u0131l ABD, bir Cop zirvesine ilk kez resmi bir heyet g\u00f6ndermedi.<\/p>\n
\n\tUzmanlar, Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde 2100 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen 3,6 derecelik \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n bug\u00fcn 2,6 dereceye d\u00fc\u015fmesinin, yenilenebilir enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131ndaki gerileme sayesinde oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Ancak k\u00fcresel karbon b\u00fct\u00e7esini korumak i\u00e7in emisyonlar\u0131n h\u0131zla azalmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tK\u00fcresel Karbon Projesi\u2019nin (GCP) de\u011ferlendirmesi, emisyonlar\u0131n 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda da y\u00fczde 1 civar\u0131nda artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Rapor, tropikal ormanlar\u0131n baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde art\u0131k karbon yuta\u011f\u0131 olmaktan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p atmosfere karbon salmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tG77 \u00fclkeleri ile \u00c7in, Cop30\u2019da fosil yak\u0131tlardan \u201cadil ge\u00e7i\u015f\u201d s\u00fcrecine destek veren bir mekanizman\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131 talep ediyor. Ancak baz\u0131 geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler bu s\u00fcreci desteklemiyor. Brezilya\u2019n\u0131n ormans\u0131zla\u015fmaya kar\u015f\u0131 kurdu\u011fu fona ise bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke hen\u00fcz katk\u0131 sa\u011flamad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\tABD\u2019nin eski ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Al Gore, toplant\u0131da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada iklim krizinin geldi\u011fi noktay\u0131 \u201cak\u0131l d\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d olarak nitelendirdi. Gore, \u201cG\u00f6ky\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131k bir kanalizasyon gibi kullanmaya devam edersek, baz\u0131 etkileri uyumla bile y\u00f6netemeyiz.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\n\tDo\u011fu Anglia \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nden Prof. Corinne Le Qu\u00e9r\u00e9, yenilenebilir enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n emisyonlardaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yava\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek \u201c\u0130klim politikalar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fe yarad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu e\u011friler k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte b\u00fck\u00fclebilir.\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131. Le Qu\u00e9r\u00e9, ekonomisi b\u00fcy\u00fcrken emisyonlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fen \u00fclke say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Avustralya, \u00dcrd\u00fcn ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin de bu gruba kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.<\/p>\n
\n\tRapor, atmosferdeki CO2 seviyesinin 2025\u2019te 425 ppm\u2019e ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu de\u011fer, sanayi \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6nemin 280 ppm seviyesinin \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde. Bilim insanlar\u0131na g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015fen do\u011fal karbon yutaklar\u0131 olmasayd\u0131 bu seviye 8 ppm daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilirdi.<\/p>\n
\n\tUzmanlar, Cop30\u2019da \u00fclkelerin yenilenebilir enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131 ve fosil yak\u0131t \u00fcretiminin a\u015famal\u0131 olarak sonland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yol haritas\u0131 olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurguluyor.<\/p>\n